As a year-old student, I was at this concert with my school-mates on Mon.
Daly "Whan that Aprille with his shoures soote - The droughte of March hath perced to the roote, And bathed every veyne in swich licour Of which vertu ungendred is the flour;" - from The Canterbury Tales, by Geoffrey Chaucer, "Our years are turned upside down; our summers are no summers; our harvests are no harvests!
In their previous report , the IPCC illustrated their, then, understanding of how global climate had changed, not just during the previous 95 years, but also the past 1, years. In so doing they presented this graph Fig 1.
Historical records from all over Europe, and Greenland attest to the reality of both events, and their profound impact on human society. For example, the colonisation of Greenland by the Vikings early in the millennium was only possible because of the medieval warmth.
This is because we have direct observations of sunspot counts going back to AD, which allows us to compare variations in the sun with variations to global climate.
But even before when the Maunder Minimum started, the cycle was clearly fragmented and irregular in contrast with the solid rhythmic cycles of subsequent years after When we compare this extraordinary solar event A piece of black coral analysis the climate record from Fig.
The inference is clear. This account of climatic history contains two serious difficulties for the present global warming theory. Both propositions posed a serious threat to continued public acceptance of the climate modeller's catastrophic view of future climate. This is because new findings in solar science suggested that the sun, not greenhouse gases, were the primary driver of 20th century climate trends.
The power of the sun to modulate our climate has been reinforced by a large body of recent research that shows it is not only the cyclic warming and cooling of the sun manifested by the year sunspot cycle causing our climate to change, but also changes in the solar spectrum towards greater ultra-violet radiation compared with visible or infra-red light see Fig.
In addition, recent changes to magnetic activity on the sun influence cosmic radiation reaching Earth which in turn modulates low level cloudiness and therefore temperature .
In other words, solar scientists have now identified three separate mechanisms by which the sun could warm or cool the earth, and it is these that are now believed to have been responsible for the Medieval Warm Period, the Little Ice Age, and the 20th century climatic trends.
These new solar findings were either ignored by greenhouse theorists or treated with hostility, since a warming sun in the 20th century would leave little or no room for trace greenhouse gases to be cited as an explanation for the claimed 20th century warmth.
It stood in stark contrast to the challenge posed by the solar scientists. At that point, Mann completed the coup and crudely grafted the surface temperature record of the 20th century shown in red and itself largely the product of urban heat islands onto the pre tree ring record.
The effect was visually dramatic as the 20th century was portrayed as a climate rocketing out of control. It should be noted that the surface record is completely at variance with the satellite temperature record . Had the latter been used to represent the last 20 years, the effect would have been to make the 20th century much less significant when compared with earlier centuries.
As a piece of science and statistics it was seriously flawed as two data series representing such different variables as temperature and tree rings simply cannot be credibly grafted together into a single series. In every other science when such a drastic revision of previously accepted knowledge is promulgated, there is considerable debate and initial scepticism, the new theory facing a gauntlet of criticism and intense review.
Only if a new idea survives that process does it become broadly accepted by the scientific peer group and the public at large. The coup was total, bloodless, and swift as Mann's paper was greeted with a chorus of uncritical approval from the greenhouse industry. Within the space of only 12 months, the theory had become entrenched as a new orthodoxy.
They could not even offer any scientific justification for their new line. This is not an esoteric theory about the distant past, marginal to the global warming debate, but rather is a core foundation upon which a new publicity offensive on global warming is being mounted.
Or is it a means of disposing of the inconvenient Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age, and thus avoid the problem of the role of the sun in climate history? Tree rings are only laid during the growing season, not the whole year, and so they tell us little or nothing about annual climate. For example, this year there was a warm winter and early spring in the north-eastern USA, followed by an unusually cool summer and fall.
Since the two events are largely self-cancelling, the year may finish as fairly average, but the tree rings would only record the cool summer and thus give a completely false impression of the full-year temperature.
Tree rings do not even record night temperatures since photosynthesis only occurs in the daytime. All a tree ring can tell us is whether the combined micro-environmental conditions during the growing season were favourable to tree growth or not.
This is because tree rings are influenced by numerous factors other than temperature, such as rainfall, sunlight, cloudiness, pests, competition, forest fires, soil nutrients, frosts and snow duration. Thus they are not even a good daytime temperature proxy for the few months of the growing season.
Other proxies such as isotopes in coral, ice, minerals and sediments are vastly superior. Trees only grow on land. In other words, historical climate simply cannot be described without taking into account the winter and adjacent months temperatures, night-time temperatures, and ocean sea surface temperatures.
Tree rings, no matter how carefully they are measured and examined, cannot provide information on any of these key parameters, and are a doubtful proxy even for daytime temperatures on land in summer.
A final weakness arises when calibrating the tree rings against temperature. When measuring the width or density of a tree ring, exactly what temperature is represented by that measurement?
This can only be determined by calibrating recently laid rings against known temperatures that existed at the time. If the calibrating temperatures are wrong, the whole tree ring temperature reconstruction for the distant past is also compromised.The elephants that lumbered up and down Blackpool’s beach have long gone.
Britain’s political parties have stopped decamping to the town for their annual jamborees. Even the deckchairs have. A very incomplete list of documented guitar smashes by Pete Townshend. This information has been compiled from various resources, primarily including The Who Concert File, by Joe McMichael and “Irish” Jack Lyons, and Anyway Anyhow Anywhere, by Andy Neill and Matt yunusemremert.com most importantly, your eyewitness accounts!
Got details of a smash? Seabirds like albatross, petrels and penguins face a growing threat from plastic waste in parts of the Pacific, Atlantic, Indian and Southern Oceans, according to a new study published on Monday.
Black coral: Beautiful, but comes at a high price A couple of years ago, I went strolling through a Manila marketplace with several American acquaintances. The shopkeepers there beckoned us to their booths with animated stories. When The Mermaids Cry: The Great Plastic Tide.
By Claire Le Guern. Last updated in March Introduction. The world population is living, working, vacationing, increasingly conglomerating along the coasts, and standing on the front row of the greatest, most unprecedented, plastic waste tide ever faced.
Black Coral can be worn non-stop once you assimilate to this piece. Just be aware that if you find you are getting too cold, then add a diamond or perhaps some natural red coral into the mix for .